self-paced course

Probabilistic Modeling for Financial Forecasts

Move beyond single-point estimates and confidently forecast a range of outcomes using probabilistic modeling techniques. This course guides finance professionals through essential concepts like S-curves, flying bars, and Monte Carlo simulations, empowering you to visualize risk, interpret probability distributions, and make informed decisions in uncertain environments. Elevate your analytical skills and strengthen your decision-making capabilities today.

Course launches on June 20, 2025

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Your Instructor: Rob Stephens, CPA

1.5-Hour Course

30-Day Money Back Guarantee

1.5 NASBA CPE Credits

Language: English

Course Curriculum

What You'll Learn

Course Description:

In the Probabilistic Modeling for Financial Forecasts course, you’ll learn to enhance your forecasting accuracy by embracing probabilistic thinking. You’ll shift from relying on deterministic, single-point estimates to exploring a spectrum of possible outcomes and their associated probabilities. Master concepts such as interpreting distribution curves, visualizing risk with S-curves and flying bars, and applying Monte Carlo simulations. By the end of this course, you'll confidently integrate simulation techniques into your workflow, enabling more informed, precise, and insightful financial decisions.

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Who Should Take This Course?

Management Accountants

You’ll learn to replace traditional forecasts with sophisticated probabilistic models, enhancing your strategic contributions by clearly representing financial uncertainties.

Finance Professionals

Gain advanced analytical skills to better quantify financial risk, improve decision-making accuracy, and effectively communicate probabilities and potential outcomes.

Accountants

Build proficiency in interpreting statistical data and probabilistic forecasts to offer more valuable financial insights and recommendations.

FP&A

Sharpen your ability to evaluate financial uncertainty and incorporate probabilistic simulations, strengthening your strategic planning and scenario analysis capabilities.
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Behind the Scenes

Video Lesson Sneak Peek

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Top features

How The Course Works

Self-Paced Learning

Navigate through the course at your own speed, with the freedom to start, pause, and resume lessons whenever fits your schedule.

All-Inclusive Content

Gain access to a wide range of resources, including video lectures, reading material, formula guides, and practical exercises designed for in-depth understanding.

Interactive Quizzes

Test your knowledge as you progress with lesson quizzes that provide immediate feedback, helping reinforce learning and measure improvement. Take a comprehensive final assessment to demonstrate mastery of the subject matter.

NASBA Certification

Upon successful completion, earn a certificate recognized by the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy (NASBA), showcasing your proficiency and dedication to professional excellence, and earn credits towards your annual CPE certification requirements, ie CMA, CPA, CIA, etc. 
Meet Your Instructor

Rob Stephens, CPA

Rob Stephens is the Founder of CFO Perspective. He has been quoted in Forbes, U.S. News and World Report, Bloomberg Businessweek, and many other news sources. Rob has a 30-year career that includes serving as CFO, Director of Operations, and SVP of Finance. Rob is an adjunct instructor for the MBA program at Gonzaga University, and holds a Masters of Science in Personal Financial Planning and a Graduate Certificate in Financial Therapy from Kansas State University. Rob received a B.A. in Business Administration from the University of Washington and is a CPA.

NASBA Course Information

DELIVERY METHOD

QAS Self-Study

FIELD OF STUDY

Statistics

CPE CREDITS

NASBA: 1.5

KNOWLEDGE LEVEL

Basic

PREREQUISITES

None

ADVANCED PREP

None

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CPE Flow is registered with the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy (NASBA) as a sponsor of continuing professional education on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. State boards of accountancy have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit. Complaints regarding registered sponsors may be submitted to the National Registry of CPE Sponsors through its website: www.nasbaregistry.org
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Frequently Asked Questions

How many CPE credits can I earn?

The course will provide 1.5 NASBA-approved CPE credits. 

Are there any prerequisites for this course?

No, there are no prerequisites. The course is designed for a basic knowledge level, making it accessible to beginners.

How is the course structured?

The course offers self-paced learning with video lectures, reading materials, formula guides, practical exercises, and quizzes for comprehensive understanding and skill development.

Are the lessons live or pre-recorded?

Our entire video library is pre-recorded making asynchronous learning possible for students from various time zones.